Southerly Breezes and Sunny Breaks: Brisbane’s Monday Weather Guide

A Fresh Start to the Week

Brisbane residents can expect a mixed bag of conditions this Monday, 16 February 2026, as a humid morning gives way to a breezy and partly cloudy afternoon. While the day starts with a touch of dampness, the clouds are expected to break, providing several hours of sunshine. With temperatures peaking at a comfortable 28°C, it is a classic late-summer day for the River City, though the extreme UV levels remain the primary concern for those heading outdoors.

Morning: Cloudy Skies and Early Showers

The morning commute may require an umbrella for some, as the Bureau of Meteorology predicts a medium chance (approximately 40% to 50%) of showers during the early hours. The morning will start with a minimum temperature of 20°C and high humidity levels hovering around 90%. Early risers will notice a persistent southerly wind at 15 to 25 km/h, which will help clear some of the overnight cloud cover as the sun rises. The most likely window for rainfall is between dawn and 9:00 AM, with total falls expected to remain light, generally between 1 and 5 mm.

Afternoon: Breaking Clouds and Rising Temps

As we head into the afternoon, conditions will shift from cloudy to partly cloudy. The maximum temperature is forecast to reach 28°C, though the ‘feels like’ temperature may be slightly higher due to the lingering humidity. The winds will trend southeasterly and pick up speed, reaching 20 to 30 km/h, providing a refreshing breeze for those in the CBD and bayside suburbs. This afternoon period will see the most significant sunshine, making it an ideal time for outdoor activities, provided you are prepared for the sun’s intensity.

Evening: Gentle Breezes and Clearing Conditions

By the evening, the weather is set to settle significantly. Winds will decrease to a light 15 to 20 km/h, eventually becoming quite still late in the night. The temperature will begin its gradual descent back toward the overnight low of 19°C. Skies will remain mostly clear with periodic clouds, and the chance of rain drops to a negligible 15%. It will be a pleasant evening for outdoor dining or a stroll along the South Bank parklands.

Key Safety Alerts and Warnings

• Extreme UV Alert: The UV Index is predicted to reach 12, which is classified as 'Extreme.' Sun protection is strongly recommended between 8:00 AM and 3:50 PM. Residents should slip on sun-protective clothing, slop on SPF30 or higher sunscreen, slap on a hat, and slide on sunglasses.
• Wind Conditions: While no gale warnings are in place, the southeasterly gusts of up to 30 km/h in the morning and early afternoon may affect light watercraft in the Moreton Bay area.
• Fire Danger: There is currently no fire danger rating issued for the Brisbane area today.